Normal Approximations to the Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximations to the Binomial Distribution
In some cases, a binomial distribution can be approximated by a normal distribution. This can be useful as binomial distributions with large can be difficult to work with.
The approximation is:
Make sure you are happy with the following topics before continuing.
Continuity Correction
An obvious problem with this approximation is that the binomial distribution is discrete while the normal distribution is continuous. This means that the binomial distribution takes fixed values with certain probabilities, but the normal distribution only takes values on ranges, i.e.
- For discrete distributions, such as binomial, we can work out and so on.
- For continuous distributions, such as normal, , and we can only work out probabilities of ranges of values.
This means that, for our approximation, we need continuity correction, which works like this:
For example, and so on.
This table shows continuity correction in practice:
Conditions for the Approximation
You can only use the approximation under some circumstances. You must make sure the conditions hold before you use the approximation. You can use the approximation when:
and is large
OR
both and
Example 1: When is Large
. Find .
[2 marks]
which is large, and which is close to , so we can use the approximation.
(continuity correction)
Example 2: When and are greater than
. Find .
[2 marks]
and
and , so we can use the approximation.
(continuity correction)
Normal Approximations to the Binomial Distribution Example Questions
Question 1: For which of these binomial distributions could we use a normal approximation?
i)
ii)
iii)
iv)
[5 marks]
i) is large and , so we can use the approximation.
ii) is not large, and , so neither condition is met so we cannot use the approximation.
iii) is not large, but and , so we can use the approximation.
iv) is large but is not close to so we must check and . . Hence, we cannot use the approximation.
Question 2: . Find:
i)
ii)
iii)
[4 marks]
is large and is close to so we can use the approximation.
i)
ii)
i)
Question 3: Every day, the probability that John buys a chocolate bar is . What is the probability that he buys more than chocolate bars in a (non-leap) year?
[3 marks]
We can model this with .
which is large and which is close to , so we can use the approximation.
Question 4: (Harder) Find the largest value of such that where
(Hint: you will need to use the standard normal distribution.)
[4 marks]
which is large and which is close to so we can use the normal approximation.
Convert to standard normal :
Use percentage points table:
Hence, the highest whole number such that is
Specification Points Covered
N1 – Understand and use simple, discrete probability distributions (calculation of mean and variance of discrete random variables is excluded), including the binomial distribution, as a model; calculate probabilities using the binomial distribution
N2 – Understand and use the Normal distribution as a model; find probabilities using the Normal distribution Link to histograms, mean, standard deviation, points of inflection and the binomial distribution